How to find winning bets in NCAAF early in the season!
Going off last year’s stats can be a little intimidating when betting teams the first few weeks of the season. A lot of times, top 25 teams disappoint the critics by suffering an unexpected loss early in their schedule.
Here are a few key components to look for when betting College Football in the first part of September.
DEFENSE: It’s been said many times, “defense wins championships” especially the skilled and experienced. It’s much easier for a defense to learn the playbook than an offense. Typically the offense will be a little rusty early in the season. Look for teams that have returning starters on defense. The more returners the better. Betting on good defensive teams will be paramount in the beginning months.
COACHES: More than ever universities are changing out their head coaches on a regular basis. A lot of programs don’t even give the coach a full recruiting cycle (5 years). With a new coach, comes new plays, goals, relationships, and culture. You don’t have to be a genius to figure out that teenage kids have a hard time with these changes and will take time (if not the entire year) to adjust. Bet against teams that have made a coaching change, especially playing on the road for the first time.
QUARTERBACKS: A new starting QB has an unbelievable amount of responsibility and pressure. Learning a 3 inch playbook is hard enough, but putting him in front of a capacity crowd can usually spell disaster for the youngster. Similar to the coaching theory, look for betting opportunities with first time starting QB’s on the road. New coach and QB is even better!
BAD LOSS:Teams bringing back a majority of their starting players, which suffered a loss in a bowl game from the previous season, are great teams to bet on for their opening game. The coaches, players and fans have spent all spring and summer thinking about their last performance. Typically this will bring out the best in everyone involved.
Stick with these concepts early in the season and you will find yourself at the cash window more times than not.
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